PGA Championship Best Bets This Weekend

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This weekend at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, golf will play the second of its four majors, the PGA Championship. Conceived in 1916 by Rodman Wanamaker, the trophy given to the tournament winner still bears his name. 

The PGA Championship is the only major that has an all-professional field. If an amateur wants an invite to the event, they must first win the Masters, the U.S. Open, or The Open Championship.

Oak Hill is one of just 17 courses to host the tournament more than once, having last been the site of the PGA Championship in 2013. But when looking ahead to this weekend’s tournament, that event a decade ago tells us next to nothing.

A course that was first built in 1901 and has hosted three PGA Championships, three U.S. Opens, and the Ryder Cup in 1995 has been made brand new.

“The only thing that’s the same is that it’s a par-70,” said Jason Ballad, Oak Hill’s head golf professional.. “We’ve redone pretty much the whole golf course. All of the green complexes have been rebuilt. Every single bunker has been rebuilt.”

“We’re excited to debut the golf course to the world.”

A few of the presumptive favorites this weekend:

2023 Masters Champion Jon Rahm

It’s never exciting to bet the favorite, which Jon Rahm is. At he’s +700 to win the tournament outright and -115 to finish in the Top 10 .

It’s not a sexy pick, but it’s a smart one. In 12 events this year, he has finished in the Top 10 in eight of them, and four times has been the winner. The world’s No. 1-ranked golfer is also the reigning Masters champion. The 28-year-old Spaniard also won the U.S. Open in 2021, and his career best at the PGA Championship was a T4 in 2018.

2022 Masters Champion Scottie Scheffler

It’s not that winning the Masters foretells upcoming success at the PGA Championship. It’s just that the last two champions at Augusta happen to be the two best golfers in the world, and by a wide margin. Scheffler is +750 to win on Sunday, and -120 to finish in the Top 10.

He and Rahm are the only two golfers in the field paying negative money for a Top 10 finish.

Scheffler turned pro in 2019, and by 2020 he was a Top 5 finisher at the PGA Championship, and he won PGA Tour Rookie of the Year. He won the Masters in 2022 and was the runner-up at the U.S. Open that same summer. This year, he has won at the Phoenix Open and The Players Championship.

Two-Time PGA Champion Brooks Koepka

Brooks Koepka left the PGA Tour for LIV Golf, so he lives for most of the year in relative golf obscurity. But the former major killer – he won four majors in 23 months from 2017 to 2019 – is back. He was just the co-runner-up to Rahm at the Masters, Koepka’s second near-miss at Augusta. He was also the runner-up in 2019. has Koepka at +1800 to win at Oak Hill outright, and he’s +210 to finish in the Top 10. He has finished in the Top 10 at a major championship 13 times in his career.

2015 PGA Champion Jason Day

It has been almost eight years since Jason Day won a major championship. He only has five Top 10 finishes at majors since that win at the PGA in 2015. But, he did just win last weekend at the AT&T Byron Nelson, and through three rounds at the Masters, he was in the Top 10.

If not for an 80 on those final 18 holes at Augusta, this would be a resurgent season for Day.

He’s paying +2500 to make it two wins in two weeks, and he is +240 to finish the 72 holes in the Top 10.

Two-Time PGA Champion Phil Mickelson

Normally you would pass over a 52-year-old when looking for serious golf bets to place. However, Phil Mickelson is not your typical 52-year-old.

He won this event just two years ago at age 50, making him the oldest major winner in history. He then nearly broke that record last month at the Masters, finishing behind Rahm and tied with Koepka for second place. 

He was not good at LIV Golf Tulsa this past weekend. But he’s an all-time great, he’s been terrific at the majors despite his age, and is paying a very attractive +15000 for Mickleson to win, and +1200 if he finishes in the Top 10.

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