2024 NFL Draft Odds

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The numbers are in. A television record 123.4 million viewers tuned in to Super Bowl LVIII, and more than 200 million viewers saw at least a portion of the Super Bowl. Usher entertained us at halftime. Taylor Swift and Blake Lively delighted us from their luxury suite. And Patrick Mahomes impressed us on the field.

Mahomes has since made his post-Super Bowl MVP trip to Disneyland, and Travis Kelce is expected to join The Eras Tour in Australia just as soon as Kansas City is done with the victory parade on Wednesday. But the rest of the NFL continues, and all 32 front offices and coaching staffs begin the business of 2024 and the upcoming NFL Draft.

First Overall Pick

There is no more difficult or important position in American professional sports than NFL starting quarterback. Pre-Patrick Mahomes, the Kansas City Chiefs were tied for 16th-most Super Bowl wins with one. Now they have four Super Bowl wins, tying them for fifth.

Many scouts see some of Mahomes’ traits in USC quarterback Caleb Williams, football online sportsbooks have him as a big favorite to be taken first overall. He is paying -900, with North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye in second place at +450.

The Chicago Bears own the first overall pick, and they are expected to either trade the pick, or deal current quarterback Justin Fields and use the pick on Williams.

Second Overall Pick

Assuming Williams goes No. 1, oddsmakers have Maye going No. 2. He is paying -180 to be the second overall pick, which is the property of the Washington Commanders. They have a new head coach in former Dallas Cowboys defensive coordinator Dan Quinn, and a quarterback who finished the season with 12 interceptions in his last seven games.

If the Commanders don’t go with Maye, LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels is next on the odds board at +175. Daniels began the 2023 regular season projected to go as late as the fifth or sixth round. But his Heisman Trophy-winning season now has him going no later than the top five.

Third Overall Pick

It’s a new world in New England, with the Patriots drafting higher than they have since they selected quarterback Drew Bledsoe No. 1 overall in 1993. They are expected to go with a quarterback here at No. 3, and Massachusetts online sportsbooks think it will be Daniels. The choice will be Maye if Daniels goes to Washington.

You get +150 for a wager on Daniels, and +165 for a wager on Maye. Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy is a wild card choice at +750.

First Pick Other Than Quarterback

Almost as obvious as the pick for Caleb Williams at No. 1 overall is the pick of Marvin Harrison Jr. as the first non-quarterback off the board. Ohio online sportsbooks have the former Ohio State Buckeye at -475 to be the first non-QB to have his name called.

Harrison would have been a first-rounder a year ago, when he had 1,263 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns. He’ll be a top-five pick this year after 1,211 yards and 14 more touchdowns.

Arizona online sportsbooks have the Cardinals as the most likely landing spot for Harrison, at -200. They are drafting fourth overall.

Other Draft Selections

Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. led his Washington Huskies to the College Football Playoff National Championship game, and Washington online sportsbooks have him staying in Seattle and getting drafted by the Seahawks. Penix to the Seahawks and new head coach Mike Macdonald is paying +300.

The Denver Broncos are next in line for Penix at +500, with the Atlanta Falcons at +550.

The 2023 draft class of tight ends was one of the best in recent memory, with Sam LaPorta, Dalton Kincaid, Tucker Kraft, Luke Musgrave, and Michael Mayer. Brock Bowers from Georgia may be better than all of them, and the +200 odds say that he will be drafted by the Los Angeles Chargers at No. 5 overall. In 2021, Kyle Pitts became the highest-drafted tight end in history when the Falcons drafted him fourth overall.

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