NFL Week 11 Betting Guide
Week 10 ended with a shocking result on Monday night. The Buffalo Bills, one of the preseason betting favorites for the Super Bowl, went down to the Denver Broncos because of a mental lapse that is usually drilled out of a player in high school.
But Buffalo was far from the only contender last weekend who took a step backwards. On Sunday, the four-game winning streak of the Cincinnati Bengals came to an end, losing to C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans. And the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens led the Cleveland Browns for 59 minutes and 20 seconds. But they were not in the lead when the clock struck zero.
It was a wild and entertaining week, with five games ending on game-winning field goals. And as the greatest reality show on television moves on to Week 11, this is what NFL bettors can look forward to this Sunday.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-7.5)
If you are going to spend your Sunday at a Michigan sportsbook, jump on this line. The Detroit Lions are one of the best teams in the NFL, and even with Justin Fields coming back, the Chicago Bears are a bottom-five team. The 7.5-point spread at Bovada.lv is great value for the Lions.
The Bears are coming off a Thursday night win over the Carolina Panthers. But when playing really good offenses, the Bears have been miserable. Chicago ranks 27th in points allowed per game.
On the other side, Detroit ranks sixth in points scored per game, and they just put up 41 on the road at the Los Angeles Chargers. That’s the same number of points they scored the last time they played Chicago.
Arizona Cardinals (+5) at Houston Texans
Taking the Arizona Cardinals and the points is not a slight to Houston Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. He is the real deal, and he has earned his status as the runaway favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. BetUS.com is paying -2000 on Stroud to win OROY.
This is a bet in favor of a former Offensive Rookie of the Year, Kyler Murray. He is back after a year away because of a torn ACL, and the three-time Texas state champion will do well in his homecoming on Sunday. He looked just as quick as he always had in last week’s win over the Falcons, and he and his new favorite target, tight end Trey McBride, will keep this game close.
Cardinals fans, find your favorite Arizona online sportsbook, and take the points.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) at Cleveland Browns
It’s a unique weekend for Pennsylvania online sports bettors. For the first time this season both the Pittsburgh Steelers and Philadelphia Eagles are underdogs in the same week. Bovada.lv has the Eagles at +2.5 at the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday night, and the Steelers at +1 for their trip to the Cleveland Browns.
The Eagles are on the road against Andy Reid and the Chiefs, and coming off their bye week, it makes some sense. But now that the Browns are without quarterback Deshaun Watson for the rest of the season, making them the favorites with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback feels exploitable.
Both teams are 6-3. But Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett has gone five games without an interception, while the Steelers defense is tied for first in the NFL with 18 takeaways. In Thompson-Robinson’s first career start in October, he threw three interceptions and lost to the Ravens, 28-3. Sorry, Ohio online sports bettors, but there is no reason to believe he’ll be much better in this, his second career start.
Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos (-2.5)
Minnesota Vikings quarterback and part-time rocket scientist Joshua Dobbs has been on a magical two-week run since he was traded away by Arizona. But as much as he is likable, and his story makes you want to root for him, his entire body of work in 2023 leaves a little to be desired.
He was traded by the Cardinals after five straight losses – a stretch in which he had six touchdown passes, five interceptions, and two lost fumbles. At some point, he is going to regress to the mean, and visiting the red-hot Denver Broncos feels like a likely time for that to happen.
Colorado online sportsbook regulars have enjoyed betting on the Broncos over the last four weeks, and that should continue on Sunday.