Updated NFL Division Odds Reflect Aaron Rodgers Trade

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Aaron Rodgers is officially a New York Jet. That’s after the Green Packers finally pulled the trigger on the much-anticipated trade of the four-time NFL MVP.

The Jets get Rodgers, Green Bay’s 2023 first-round pick (No. 15) and fifth-round pick (No. 170). In return, the Packers get New York’s 2023 first-round pick (No. 13), second-round pick (No. 42), and sixth-round pick (No. 207). Green Bay also gets a conditional second-round pick in 2024. That becomes a first-round pick if Rodgers plays 65% of the snaps.

Barring an injury to Rodgers, that 2024 pick should become a first-rounder, essentially giving Green Bay a first- and second-round pick for trading their future Hall of Fame quarterback.

Rodgers posted a lengthy goodbye message on social media. To the fans in Green Bay, he wrote: “THANK YOU. You made every run out of the tunnel special, every home game magical, and it was my honor to be your QB.”

As for where the finalization of the deal leaves both teams heading into the 2023 season, the oddsmakers have made their opinions known.

Jets at No. 2 in AFC East Odds

The Buffalo Bills are still the favorites to win the AFC East, according to BetUS.com. They are paying +130 to win the division for the fourth consecutive season. But the Jets have risen to second in the division at +200, their shortest odds to win the AFC East since 2011. They haven’t won the division since 2002.

The Miami Dolphins have added cornerback Jalen Ramsey and linebacker David Long, and they are +300 to win the AFC East. The New England Patriots are last, paying +800.

To win the AFC, something the Jets have never done (when they played in Super Bowl III, it was still the AFL), the odds on New York are +700. The last time the odds on the Jets were that short was Week 4 of 2011. They ended up missing the playoffs that season.

Aaron Rodgers is paying +1400 to win his record-tying fifth MVP award. Peyton Manning won four MVPs with the Indianapolis Colts, and won his fifth after a move to the Denver Broncos late in his career.

Packers at the Bottom of the NFC North

With Aaron Rodgers as their starting quarterback, the Green Bay Packers have never opened a season with division champion odds longer than +225. In 10 of his 15 seasons as the starter, they were paying negative odds on winning the NFC North.

BetUS.com currently has the Packers at +500 to win the division, +2000 to win the NFC, and +5000 to win Super Bowl LVIII. The last time Green Bay was +5000 or longer to win the Super Bowl was the off-season of 2007, when Brett Favre was complaining about the team and his general manager and asking for a trade.

Green Bay doesn’t have that same turmoil surrounding their quarterback this off-season. Jordan Love is the unquestioned starter. But after 31 seasons of Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers, the Packers are entering a new era of unknowns.

Green Bay’s slide to the bottom of the NFC North has the Detroit Lions as the favorite to win it. They are paying +140, their shortest odds in the last 20 years. Last year’s NFC North champion, the Minnesota Vikings, are paying +250. The Chicago Bears, who lost to Rodgers 24 times in his 29 career starts against them, are third in the division at +300.

Jordan Love is +4000 to win the 2023 NFL MVP award according to BetOnline.ag.

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